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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWarren Buffett is now 'as bearish as he ever gets,' says Bill SmeadBill Smead, chief investment officer at Smead Capital Management, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to share his reactions to Berkshire Hathaway's annual meeting over the weekend.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Bill Smead Bill Smead Organizations: Smead Capital Management, Berkshire Hathaway's Locations: Berkshire
From late October through March, the S&P 500 enjoyed a virtually uninterrupted 27.6% rally based on better-than-expected earnings and economic data. And while it's still well below the dot-com bubble levels, it's still too close for comfort for many investors. Related story"Those higher rates are starting to push back on elevated valuations for stocks right now," Saglimbene said. "They're all much cheaper on an earnings basis than those Magnificent 7 companies," Saglimbene said. "So I think if we avoid a recession this year, the narrative will change to a broadening of companies and sectors that can participate in earnings growth this year."
Persons: aren't, Anthony Saglimbene, Rick Pitcairn, Pitcairn, it's, we've, Raheel Siddiqui, Neuberger Berman, Siddiqui, Jon Wolfenbarger, Albert Edwards, Bill Smead, James Ragan, DA Davidson, Ragan, Saglimbene, Indrani, she's, De, Davidson, Siddiqui's Organizations: Ameriprise, Business, DA, FTSE Russell, Investors Locations: Ameriprise
In today's big story, we're doing a deep dive into the golf tournament at one of the most exclusive clubs in the world . Mike Ehrmann/Getty ImagesHarvard University alumni, Goldman Sachs partners, Birkin bag owners — those exclusive groups are nothing compared to an Augusta National Golf Course membership. The Masters Tournament, the first of four men's major golf tournaments, kicks off today , write Business Insider's Madeline Berg and Taylor Rains. Since it's almost impossible to check out Augusta National otherwise, the Masters has become a staple of the billionaire's social calendar. Augusta National runs a lottery system for them.
Persons: , Mike Ehrmann, Goldman Sachs, Birkin, Madeline Berg, Taylor, it's, Cork Gaines, aren't, Joe Ciolli, didn't, Chelsea Jia Feng, Bill Smead, Brad Porter, Elon Musk's, Y, Paul Graham, Alyssa Powell, Larry Ellison, David Ellison, Larry Ellison's, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Business, Service, Getty Images Harvard University, Augusta, Waste, bros, Augusta National, Renaissance Technologies, Sigma, Robotics, Amazon Robotics, xAI, Paramount, Oracle, Google, JPMorgan, SpaceX Locations: Augusta, swag, Chelsea, D.E, Shaw's Valence, New York, London
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Disco is backOthers have also started to compare today's market and the 1970s' "Nifty Fifty." AdvertisementJPMorgan's Chief Global Strategist Marko Kolanovic also said in a note on Wednesday that fiscal spending and inflation could resemble the 1970s landscape. Similar to the 1970s, there are currently 3 active geopolitical conflict zones – eastern Europe, Middle East, and South China Sea," Kolanovic said. Kolanovic included in his note the chart below, which shows the correlation between inflation and the performance of the S&P 500.
Persons: , Albert Edwards, Bank of America's Michael Hartnett, Jeffrey Gundlach, Cole Smead, Smead, Sears Roebuck, Alphabet's, Nvidia's, Microsoft's, Jeremy Siegel, David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch, " Rosenberg, Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic Organizations: Service, Societe Generale, Bank of America's, Treasury, Nasdaq, DoubleLine, Investments, Business, Morningstar, Microsoft, Nvidia, Xerox Locations: Europe, Middle East, South China
In a note on Tuesday, Smead shared the secrets to his success via four guiding principles for outperforming the market. What is worse, losing $30 per share or the sin of omission by missing the next $120 gain per share?" "Our optimism for companies goes up as the price goes down when it fits our eight criteria for stock selection," Smead said. 7 stocks Smead is betting on nowIn the note, Smead listed seven companies he owns that fit these criteria: oil firms Occidental Petroleum (OXY) and ConocoPhillips (COP); homebuilders D.R. We believe that 100% of the people who pick stocks for a living think they will be above average," Smead said.
Persons: Bill Smead, Cole, He's, Smead, D.R, Horton, LEN Organizations: Smead Capital Management, Morningstar, Bank of America, Occidental Petroleum, ConocoPhillips, Merck, US
CNBC Daily Open: Wall Street anxious over Fed concerns
  + stars: | 2024-02-06 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
U.S. Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference at the headquarters of the Federal Reserve on January 31, 2024 in Washington, DC. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Overnight, U.S. stocks lost ground and Treasury yields rose amid lingering concerns that the Federal Reserve may not cut rates as much as expected. About 97% of the oil produced today was discovered in the 20th century, she told CNBC. "It's the banks that made bad decisions that are making [other] banks look attractive in pricing," Smead told CNBC, who picked two bank stocks that are in play.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Dow, Vicki Hollub, Cole Smead, Smead Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC, Nasdaq, UBS, Occidental Locations: Washington ,, China, Hong Kong, Asia, Pacific, Beijing, Swiss
CNBC Daily Open: Wall Street rattled over Fed worries
  + stars: | 2024-02-06 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. About 97% of the oil produced today was discovered in the 20th century, she told CNBC. Clare Lombardelli, chief economist at the OECD, told CNBC that shipping-driven inflation pressures remain a risk rather than its base case. "It's the banks that made bad decisions that are making [other] banks look attractive in pricing," Smead told CNBC, who picked two bank stocks that are in play.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Dow, Vicki Hollub, Alex Karp, Clare Lombardelli, Cole Smead, Smead Organizations: Federal Reserve, New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Street, U.S, Treasury, Nasdaq, Occidental, Organisation for Economic Co, OECD Locations: New York City, U.S
There are opportunities in the banking sector despite a rise in volatility and concern over steep losses at some lenders, according to fund manager Cole Smead. The stock makes up 1.36% of the Smead Value Fund . He believes UniCredit's share buybacks while the shares trade below book value will drive book value growth higher than the current 8% return on equity. "When you buy back shares below book, there is a multiplier effect on book value growth," Smead explained. The fund manager expects UniCredit will trade above book value over the next 12-18 months and use its stock to pursue further acquisitions.
Persons: Cole Smead, Switzerland's, Julius Baer, Smead, CNBC's, RoE, UniCredit Organizations: Smead Capital, Western Alliance Bank, KBW, New York Community Bancorp, Investors, Western Alliance Bank's, CNBC Pro Locations: Europe, U.S
A trader reacts as a screen displays the Fed rate announcement on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., January 31, 2024. The U.S. stock market is in a "very dangerous" spot as persistently strong jobs numbers and wage growth suggest the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes have not had the desired effect, according to Cole Smead, CEO of Smead Capital Management. The figures came after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank would likely not cut rates in March, as some market participants had anticipated. "We know the Fed has raised rates, we know that caused a banking run last spring and we know that's damaged the bond market. The Fed has not affected wage growth, which continues to outpunch inflation as we speak, and I look at the wage growth as a really good picture of inflationary pressures going forward."
Persons: Cole Smead, Nonfarm payrolls, Dow Jones, Jerome Powell, Smead, CNBC's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Smead Capital Management, CPI, Wage Locations: New York City, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEnergy prices will go 'way higher' despite transition to EVs: Bill SmeadBill Smead, Smead Capital Management CIO, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss how to position in energy, the current geopolitical impacts on the oil industry, and more.
Persons: Bill Smead Bill Smead Organizations: Smead Capital Management
The oil market will face a supply shortage by the end of 2025 as the world fails to replace current crude reserves fast enough, Occidental CEO Vicki Hollub told CNBC on Monday. For now, the market is oversupplied, which has held oil prices down despite the current conflict in the Middle East, Hollub said. But the supply and demand outlook will flip by the end of 2025, Hollub said. The forecast implies a supply deficit unless OPEC ditches current production cuts and boosts its own output. Hollub told CNBC in December that Occidental expects WTI to average around $80 in 2024.
Persons: Vicki Hollub, Hollub, CNBC's Tyler Mathisen, WTI, Brent Organizations: CNBC, Smead Investor Oasis Conference, West Texas Intermediate, Brent, Occidental, CNBC PRO Locations: Occidental, Phoenix, U.S, Brazil, Canada, Guyana, China, OPEC, WTI
'30% of the banks in America will disappear,' says fund manager
  + stars: | 2024-02-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'30% of the banks in America will disappear,' says fund managerCole Smead, portfolio manager at Smead Capital Management, expects 30% of U.S. lenders to disappear through consolidation over the next decade as many struggle with capital issues and profitability coming out of an era of low-interest rates.
Persons: Cole Smead Organizations: Smead Capital Management Locations: America
[1/4] Berkshire Hathaway Inc Vice Chairman Charles Munger speaks at the Daily Journal annual meeting in Los Angeles, U.S., February 15, 2017. Munger's death on Tuesday, five weeks shy of his 100th birthday, leaves Berkshire Vice Chairmen Greg Abel and Ajit Jain, who respectively oversee its non-insurance and insurance businesses, as the 93-year-old Buffett's top advisers and sounding boards. At the 2021 annual meeting, Jain was asked how he and Abel interact with each other. "You don’t need them to be as good as Buffett or Munger to make Berkshire a good company and arguably a great company." "It particularly doesn't feel like an annual meeting because my partner of 60 years, Charlie Munger, is not sitting up here," Buffett said.
Persons: Charles Munger, Lucy Nicholson, Berkshire, Charlie Munger, Warren Buffett, Buffett, Munger, Munger's, Greg Abel, Ajit Jain, Abel, Jain, Warren, Charlie, Bill Stone, Howard Buffett, Todd Combs, Ted Weschler, Bill Smead, Whitney Tilson, Munger didn't, Jonathan Stempel, Megan Davies, Paritosh Bansal, Stephen Coates Organizations: Berkshire Hathaway, Daily, REUTERS, Berkshire Hathaway's, Berkshire, BNSF, Investors, Glenview Trust, Berkshire Hathaway Energy, University of Alberta, PricewaterhouseCoopers, Energy, MidAmerican's, Apple, Smead Capital Management, Kase Capital, Thomson Locations: Los Angeles , U.S, Berkshire, Omaha , Nebraska, Munger, Glenview, Edmonton, Alberta, Indian, Odisha, Phoenix, Woodstock, Omaha, New York
Watch CNBC's full interview with Bill Stone and Bill Smead
  + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Bill Stone and Bill SmeadBill Stone, CIO at Glenview Trust Company, and Bill Smead, CIO at Smead Capital Management, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the legacy of Charlie Munger, the future of Berkshire, and more.
Persons: Bill Stone, Bill Smead Bill Stone, Bill Smead, Charlie Munger Organizations: Glenview Trust Company, Smead Capital Management Locations: Berkshire
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBerkshire has changed and is built to last, says Glenview Trust Company's Bill StoneBill Stone, CIO at Glenview Trust Company, and Bill Smead, CIO at Smead Capital Management, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the legacy of Charlie Munger, the future of Berkshire, and more.
Persons: Bill Stone Bill Stone, Bill Smead, Charlie Munger Organizations: Berkshire, Glenview Trust Company, Smead Capital Management Locations: Glenview, Berkshire
"If there is a regime shift, then what has worked could be quite different from what does work," McLennan said. That means the growth stocks that dominated for years may come back to earth in the mid-2020s. He also recommends that investors diversify away from growth stocks that thrived under low rates and instead broaden out to value-oriented names. Valuations explain 80% of a stock's returns over a decade, according to Bank of America. Smead sees energy in stocks in Canada also outperforming in the coming decade, as well as European banks.
Persons: , Peter Bates, Rowe Price, Damanick Dantes, We're, Dantes, you've, He's, Matt McLennan, McLennan, Kimball Brooker, Morningstar, Nicola Stafford, Stafford, it's, Molina, Bates, Russell, Cole Smead, that's, Phillip Colmar, Colmar, Bob Doll, Doll, Smead, Michael Sheldon, Sheldon, who's, there's, Chris Chen, Chen, Roth Organizations: Service, Business, Global, International, McLennan, First Eagle Global Fund, Eagle Investments, Goldman, Asset Management, Stock, Molina Healthcare, Vanguard Value, Healthcare, Bank of America, Comerica Wealth Management, MRB Partners, Canadian, Crossmark Global Investments, BlackRock, Energy, P Bank ETF, RDM Financial, Social Security, Social, Insight Financial, Trust, IRA Locations: Canada, Colmar, United States, Canadian, Europe, Treasuries
Berkshire Hathaway vice chairman Charlie Munger dies at 99
  + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +12 min
Nov 28 (Reuters) - Charlie Munger, the longtime vice chairman and second-in-command to Warren Buffett at Berkshire Hathaway (BRKa.N), died on Tuesday morning at a California hospital. For stock-pickers like us to lose Charlie Munger, would be like if you’re a basketball fan and you lose Bill Russell. "I wouldn't think Berkshire will look much different, apart from Buffett no longer being able to share ideas with Munger. CATHERINE SEIFERT, VICE-PRESIDENT, CFRA RESEARCH, NEW YORK“Berkshire Hathaway shareholders are not going to be directly or negatively impacted from the passing of Charlie Munger. Therewass already a transition plan in place and there's a transition plan in place when Warren Buffett passes away.
Persons: Charlie Munger, Warren Buffett, Charlie, WHITNEY TILSON, BRIAN MOYNIHAN, Charlie Mungerwass, ” BURNS MCKINNEY, Bill Russell, , Berkshire Hathaway, ” PHIL ORLANDO, FEDERATED HERMES, BILL, Buffett, Munger, PHILLIP, , STEVE SOSNICK, , ” WIN MURRAY, DIAMOND, MARY JO, BILL SMEAD, Warren, ” “ Buffett, Todd Combs, Ted Weschler, ” PAUL LOUNTZIS, Greg Abel, I've, you'll, STEPHEN DODSON, hewass, ” PAUL NOLTE, FOR MURPHY, Warren Buffet, they've, QUINCY KROSBY, RICK MECKLER, CHERRY, NEW VERNON, Hewass, obviouslywass, DOUG KASS, ” THOMAS RUSSO, GARDNER RUSSO, QUINN, CATHERINE SEIFERT, he's, ” ANTHONY SAGLIMBENE, THOMAS HAYES Organizations: Berkshire Hathaway, COOK, APPLE, WHO, KASE, OF, FEDERATED, Berkshire, ” WIN, THE BRETTON, SAN, SYLVEST, NEW, Buffett, GREAT, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: California, Munger, Berkshire, American, DALLAS , TEXAS, GLENVIEW, CALIFORNIA, CONNECTICUT, DIAMOND HILL, COLUMBUS , OHIO, PHOENIX, ” “ Berkshire, , PENNSYLVANIA, ELMHURST, IL, CHARLOTTE, NC, CHERRY LANE, NEW JERSEY, LANCASTER , PENNSYLVANIA, Munger . Berkshire, TROY , MICHIGAN, GREAT HILL
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors are ignoring future risks and competition concerns within AI industry, CEO saysCole Smead, CEO of Smead Capital Management, discusses Nvidia, Sam Altman and investing in AI.
Persons: Cole Smead, Sam Altman Organizations: Smead Capital Management, Nvidia
However, his aspirations to make UniCredit the "bank of Europe" are proving trickier to realise with the CEO setting a high bar for mergers and acquisitions in the euro zone's fractured capital markets, despite having what he describes as the biggest war chest among European lenders. UniCredit bought Greece's 9% stake in Alpha Bank (ACBr.AT) and struck a commercial partnership with the Athens-based lender, also acquiring most of its Romanian operations. The CEO works closely with a small M&A team he set up within UniCredit which constantly reviews potential deals in the markets and businesses where the bank operates, people with knowledge of the matter said. But uneven regulation across the euro zone, where progress towards a single banking market has stalled, complicates cross-border deals. Calling on Europe to follow his lead, Orcel says he has unlocked UniCredit's potential by giving it a unified strategy across its 13 markets.
Persons: Andrea Orcel, Merrill Lynch, Orcel, He's, Cole Smead, ALPHA Orcel, Siena, UniCredit, Smead, Jean, Pierre Mustier's, Mustier, it's, Carlo Franchini, Danilo Masoni, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: Discount, MILAN, UBS, Smead Capital Management, Fund, ALPHA, Banco, Alpha Bank, Alpha, Banca Ifigest, Thomson Locations: buybacks, Europe, Arizona, Ukraine, Athens, HVB, Berlin, Milan
In today's big story, we're looking at why the market might be on the cusp of a once-in-a-generation investing moment (but not with the names you're familiar with). The big storyUnder the radarA trader looks at market charts on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on January 18, 2023. Angela Weiss/AFP/Getty ImagesWhen it comes to the stock market, the real value is in the crumbs. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe former chief investment strategist at Merrill Lynch views the chance to get in on less-glamorous stocks as a "once-in-a-generation" opportunity. The end of the AI market boon.
Persons: , Stanley, Angela Weiss, Richard Bernstein, Merrill Lynch, Insider's Jennifer Sor, Bernstein, Jennifer, Brendan McDermid, Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Charlie Munger, Warren Buffett's, Munger, there's, Berkshire Hathaway, Bill Smead, Smead, Kendrick Lamar's, Rishi Sunak, Linda Yaccarino, Hitler, Elon Musk, carles miro, Getty, Tyler Le, Gen Zers, Zers, Donald Trump, OpenAI, OpenAI DevDay, Adolphe Sax, Martha Stewart, Lexie Moreland, Dan DeFrancesco, Naga Siu, Hallam Bullock, Lisa Ryan Organizations: Service, New York Stock Exchange, Getty, Bank of America, REUTERS, Elon, AI, Trump, Trump Organization, OpenAI Locations: Victoria, New York City, San Diego, London, New York
The AI-fueled boom in the "Magnificent 7" tech stocks has propped up the stock market this year. AdvertisementAdvertisementSmead emphasized the Magnificent Seven are "the only thing keeping the rally in the S&P 500 index alive this year." He included a chart showing the 10 largest S&P 500 stocks by market cap have accounted for an unprecedented 96% of the index's performance for 2023. "AI looks like tech stock and S&P 500 index life support to us," Smead said. "What happens if the seven stocks that have propped up the passive S&P 500 Index go through what every stock of popularity has done historically?
Persons: Bill Smead, , Smead, Watson Organizations: Service, Smead Capital Management, Big Tech, Microsoft, Nvidia, Department, Federal
Third quarter sales of Horizon's gout drug Krystexxa rose to $253 million from $192 million. Amgen raised its post-acquisition forecast for full-year sales to between $28 billion and $28.4 billion from a previous estimate of $26.6 billion to $27.4 billion. Total revenue for the quarter rose 4% to $6.9 billion, in line with analyst expectations. Sales of cancer drug Lumakras fell 31% to $52 million and sales of psoriasis drug Otezla fell 10% to $567 million. Sales of Amjevita, Amgen's new biosimilar version of AbbVie's (ABBV.N) blockbuster arthritis drug Humira, rose 30% to $152 million.
Persons: Robert Galbraith, Amgen, Jefferies, Michael Yee, Bill Smead, Tepezza, We're, we've, Peter Griffith, AMG340, William Blair, Matt Phipps, Lumakras, Otezla, Deena Beasley, Leroy Leo, Bill Berkrot Organizations: REUTERS, Horizon Therapeutics, Smead Capital Management, Wall Street, U.S . Federal Trade Commission, Thomson Locations: South San Francisco , California, California, Los Angeles, Bengaluru
The stock market is going through a "euphoria" episode that will end badly, according to Smead Capital. Other commentators have warned of market downside as interest rates stay higher for longer. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe stock market is going through a "euphoria" that could end badly for equity investors, according to investment advisor Smead Capital. "In our conversations with investors, we are pointing out the 'totality' of this financial euphoria episode. Other Wall Street commentators have warned of more downside ahead for equities as interest rates stay higher-f0r-longer.
Persons: , Smead Organizations: Smead Capital, Service, Smead, South Seas Locations: Amsterdam
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailReal assets and labor are winners of the next 10 years, says Smead Value Fund's Bill SmeadBill Smead, Smead Value Fund portfolio manager, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss Exxon Mobil's Pioneer deal, his energy and real estate holdings, and more.
Persons: Smead Bill Smead Organizations: Exxon Mobil's Pioneer
In the last four years energy investors have dumped stocks in oil companies that boost capital spending, favoring higher returns over spending on costly, long-term new projects. But Exxon shares last month hit a record high of $120, lifted by returns on its oil, gas and refining businesses. 2 Permian shale oil producer, for $60 billion, signals it is ready to pay up for production after missing its own output targets in the Permian. A deal would bring Exxon to about 1.33 million barrels of oil and gas per day, the largest in the oilfield. It has good reserves, growing production, spending in check and debt at healthy levels, he said.
Persons: Lucas Jackson, Exxon Mobil's, Bill Smead, Vince Lorusso, Lorusso, Shale Research Alexandre Ramos, Kathryn Mikells, Bass, Scott Hanold, Matthew Bernstein, Sabrina Valle, Anna Driver, Diane Craft Organizations: Exxon Mobil Corporation, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Rights, Exxon, Natural Resources, Smead Capital Management, Clough Capital Partners, Management, Shale Research, XTO Energy, RBC Capital Markets, ExxonMobil, Rystad Energy, Thomson Locations: New York, Ukraine, U.S, Americas, Guyana
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